What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from MC Alger and 0.6 from MC Oran, so MC Alger come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
MC Alger come into this on three straight wins. MC Oran come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: MC Alger to win. MC Alger are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.6), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
MC Alger have won four of the last five meetings.
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