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★★★★★Arsenal are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-0.8), and we make them about 65% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Premier League
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
20Matches
2Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Saturday 10 October
v★★★★★
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Man United are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.0), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Sunday 11 October
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★★★★★This covers Nott'm Forest or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Hull or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Monday 12 October
Saturday 17 October
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.0-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Man City are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.2-0.8), and we make them about 86% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Sunday 18 October
v★★★★★This covers Bournemouth or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v★★★★★Brighton are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.0), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Arsenal shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.4), and we make them about 56% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
