What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Degerfors and 0.8 from Halmstad, so Degerfors come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Degerfors come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Degerfors (Draw No Bet). Degerfors are favoured here (xG 1.3-0.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Degerfors defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Halmstad win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 72% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
