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Football/Allsvenskan/Elfsborg v Malmo FF
Allsvenskan · Borås Arena

Elfsborg v Malmo FF prediction

Elfsborg crestElfsborg4th of 16 · 40 ptsWLWWW
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FFWDWLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Elfsborg and 1.3 from Malmo FF, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Elfsborg come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Elfsborg have won four of their last five.
✓Malmo FF have won three of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent results

26 Jul 2026Malmo FF 1 - 2 Elfsborg
14 Sept 2025Elfsborg 2 - 2 Malmo FF
7 Apr 2025Malmo FF 2 - 1 Elfsborg
28 May 2024Malmo FF 2 - 1 Elfsborg
5 May 2024Elfsborg 3 - 1 Malmo FF

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.51Share
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