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Football/Allsvenskan/Mjallby v Degerfors
Allsvenskan · Strandvallen

Mjallby v Degerfors prediction

Mjallby crestMjallbyLDDDL
v
Degerfors crestDegerforsLLWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Mjallby and 0.9 from Degerfors, so Mjallby come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Degerfors come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Degerfors to score 1 or fewer. This is about Degerfors's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 77%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Mjallby have not won any of their last five.
Degerfors have won one of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

9 May 2026Degerfors 1 - 4 Mjallby
13 Sept 2025Degerfors 0 - 1 Mjallby
27 Apr 2025Mjallby 4 - 1 Degerfors
12 Nov 2023Degerfors 1 - 2 Mjallby
16 Apr 2023Mjallby 2 - 0 Degerfors
Mjallby have won five of the last five meetings.

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GAIS crestGAISvSiriusSirius crest★★★★★
Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.56Share
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