What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Orgryte and 2.5 from Sirius, so Sirius come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.9 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.9 goals between the two (xG 1.4-2.5), landing about 63% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Orgryte have not won any of their last five.
✓Sirius have won one of their last five.
Recent meetings
11 May 2026Sirius 2 - 0 Orgryte
