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Football/Allsvenskan/Sirius v Elfsborg
Allsvenskan · Studenternas IP

Sirius v Elfsborg prediction

Sirius crestSirius1st of 16 · 54 ptsWWWDW
v
Elfsborg crestElfsborg5th of 16 · 37 ptsDWLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Sirius and 1.4 from Elfsborg, so Sirius come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Elfsborg come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Sirius are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Elfsborg have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

19 Jul 2026Elfsborg 1 - 3 Sirius
26 Oct 2025Sirius 4 - 0 Elfsborg
23 Apr 2025Elfsborg 4 - 3 Sirius
6 Oct 2024Sirius 4 - 1 Elfsborg
29 Apr 2024Elfsborg 2 - 0 Sirius
Sirius have won three of the last five meetings.

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Full fixture list
Elfsborg crestElfsborgvHalmstadHalmstad crest★★★★★
Elfsborg are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.7), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Top pickElfsborg to win · 1.34Share
AIK crestAIKvGoteborgGoteborg crest★★★★★
Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.51Share
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