What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Sardarapat and 2.2 from FC Noah, so FC Noah come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Sardarapat come into this on two straight draws. FC Noah come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FC Noah to win. FC Noah shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.2), and we make them about 67% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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