How it turned out
The game finished with 5 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: First Vienna FC to win. First Vienna FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.9), and we make them about 48% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.35, which works out at about 43 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Austria Salzburg a draw or better. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 48%.
