FC Liefering v SW Bregenz prediction

What to expect

We expect about 2.5 goals from FC Liefering and 1.4 from SW Bregenz, so FC Liefering come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.8 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: FC Liefering to win. FC Liefering are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-1.4), and we make them about 55% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.40, which works out at about 42 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.