How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made SKN St. Pölten or Draw 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Kapfenberger SV and 1.7 from SKN St. Pölten, so SKN St. Pölten come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: SKN St. Pölten or Draw. This covers SKN St. Pölten or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
SKN St. Pölten have won four of the last five meetings.
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