How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Voitsberg or Draw 67%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Sturm Graz II and 1.6 from Voitsberg, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Sturm Graz II come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Voitsberg or Draw. This covers Voitsberg or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
All two of the last meetings were drawn.
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