How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made A. Lustenau to score 1 or fewer 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Austria Vienna and 1.0 from A. Lustenau, so Austria Vienna come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Austria Vienna come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: A. Lustenau to score 1 or fewer. This is about A. Lustenau's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Austria Vienna have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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