What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Austria Vienna and 1.8 from Salzburg, so Salzburg come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Austria Vienna come into this on four straight defeats. Salzburg come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Austria Vienna to score 1 or fewer. This is about Austria Vienna's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Salzburg have won four of the last five meetings.
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