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Football/Austrian Bundesliga/Hartberg v Ried
Austrian Bundesliga · Profertil Arena Hartberg

Hartberg v Ried prediction

Hartberg crestHartbergLLLLW
v
Ried crestRiedLDLLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Hartberg and 0.9 from Ried, so Hartberg come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.3 goals in total (xG 1.3-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 76%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Hartberg have won one of their last five.
Ried have won one of their last five.
Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

22 Nov 2025Hartberg 2 - 0 Ried
14 Sept 2025Ried 0 - 2 Hartberg
27 May 2023Hartberg 2 - 0 Ried
8 Apr 2023Ried 1 - 3 Hartberg
12 Feb 2023Ried 0 - 1 Hartberg
Hartberg have won five of the last five meetings.

One thing to watch

It only takes one early goal to change how both sides play, and a low total can unravel in a single quick spell. We make it about 76% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.

More Austrian Bundesliga fixtures

Full fixture list
LASK crestLASKvAltachAltach crest★★★★★
LASK are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-0.8), and we make them about 70% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
LASK to win · 1.39Share
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