What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Wolfsberger AC and 1.5 from Sturm Graz, so Sturm Graz come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Wolfsberger AC come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Wolfsberger AC to score 1 or fewer. This is about Wolfsberger AC's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Wolfsberger AC have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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