What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from BATE Borisov and 1.2 from Neman Grodno, so Neman Grodno come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
BATE Borisov come into this on two straight defeats. Neman Grodno come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Neman Grodno or Draw. This covers Neman Grodno or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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