FC Dnepr Mogilev v Dinamo Minsk prediction

What to expect

We expect about 0.7 goals from FC Dnepr Mogilev and 1.9 from Dinamo Minsk, so Dinamo Minsk come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Dinamo Minsk to win. Dinamo Minsk shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-1.9), and we make them about 70% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.