How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Dinamo Minsk or Draw 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Gomel and 1.4 from Dinamo Minsk, so Dinamo Minsk come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Dinamo Minsk come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Dinamo Minsk or Draw. This covers Dinamo Minsk or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Dinamo Minsk have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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