What to expect
We expect about 2.3 goals from Torpedo Zhodino and 0.9 from Naftan Novopolotsk, so Torpedo Zhodino come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Naftan Novopolotsk come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Torpedo Zhodino to win. Torpedo Zhodino are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.9), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.48, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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