What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Botev Plovdiv and 1.6 from CSKA Sofia, so CSKA Sofia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: CSKA Sofia or Draw. This covers CSKA Sofia or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
CSKA Sofia have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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