What to expect
We expect about 2.4 goals from Levski Sofia and 0.7 from PFC Lokomotiv Sofia 1929, so Levski Sofia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
PFC Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Levski Sofia to win. Levski Sofia are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.7), and we make them about 79% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.21, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Levski Sofia have won five of the last five meetings.
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