What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Pacific FC and 1.7 from Forge FC, so Forge FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Forge FC come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Forge FC to win. Forge FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.7), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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