How it turned out
The game finished with 5 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
Liverpool come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.3 goals between the two (xG 1.8-1.6), landing about 65% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.60, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
An early goal can kill the tempo just as easily as spark it, and a quiet second half leaves this short. At around 65% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.