What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Kairat Almaty and 1.6 from Panathinaikos, so Panathinaikos come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Panathinaikos to win. Panathinaikos shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.6), and we make them about 56% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.86, which works out at about 54 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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