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Football/UEFA Conference League/Pafos FC v Midtjylland
UEFA Conference League

Pafos FC v Midtjylland prediction

Pafos FC crestPafos FC30th of 36 · 1 ptDDDLW
v
Midtjylland crestMidtjyllandDWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from Pafos FC and 1.8 from Midtjylland, so Midtjylland come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Midtjylland come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Midtjylland or Draw. This covers Midtjylland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Pafos FC have won one of their last five.
✓Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.

Recent results

8 Nov 2026Wvs Omonia 29 Maiou · 4 - 2
5 Nov 2026Lat Twente · 3 - 1
31 Oct 2026Dat Apollon Limassol · 2 - 2
26 Oct 2026Dat Nea Salamis · 0 - 0
22 Oct 2026Dvs Riga · 1 - 1

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More UEFA Conference League fixtures

Full fixture list
Ajax crestAjaxvThunThun crest★★★★★
Ajax are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.6-1.1), and we make them about 84% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Top pickAjax to win · 1.21Share
Every game on Thursday, 26 November 2026 →
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