What to expect
We expect about 0.7 goals from Llandudno FC and 3.4 from The New Saints, so The New Saints come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Llandudno FC come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: The New Saints to win. The New Saints shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-3.4), and we make them about 91% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 89 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The New Saints have won three of the last three meetings.
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