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Football/Cymru Premier/Penybont v Caernarfon
Cymru Premier

Penybont v Caernarfon prediction

Penybont crestPenybont3rd of 16 · 33 ptsWWLWW
v
CACaernarfon4th of 16 · 29 ptsDLWWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Penybont and 1.4 from Caernarfon, so Penybont come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Penybont come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Penybont or Draw. This covers Penybont or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Penybont have won four of their last five.
✓Caernarfon have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

7 Aug 2026Caernarfon 1 - 2 Penybont
18 Apr 2026Caernarfon 2 - 0 Penybont
24 Jan 2026Penybont 0 - 0 Caernarfon
25 Oct 2025Penybont 0 - 2 Caernarfon
20 Sept 2025Caernarfon 1 - 2 Penybont

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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More Cymru Premier fixtures

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