What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Slovan Liberec and 1.0 from Hradec Kralove, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.2 goals in total (xG 1.2-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 59%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.77, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 59%.
