How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Aarhus (Draw No Bet) 77%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.1 goals from Aarhus and 1.0 from Odense, so Aarhus come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Odense come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Aarhus (Draw No Bet). Aarhus are favoured here (xG 2.1-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Aarhus defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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