What to expect
We expect about 2.3 goals from Horsens and 1.5 from Sonderjyske, so Horsens come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.8 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Horsens come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.8 goals between the two (xG 2.3-1.5), landing about 61% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Sonderjyske have won three of the last five meetings.
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