What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Midtjylland and 1.1 from Brondby, so Midtjylland come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.7-1.1), landing about 53% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.60, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Brondby have won four of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
17 May 2026Midtjylland 2 - 3 Brondby
12 Apr 2026Brondby 1 - 2 Midtjylland
1 Mar 2026Midtjylland 0 - 0 Brondby
31 Aug 2025Brondby 1 - 3 Midtjylland
19 May 2025Brondby 1 - 2 Midtjylland
