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Football/Superliga/Odense v Horsens
Superliga · Marienlystcentret

Odense v Horsens: how it went

Odense crestOdenseDLLWL
1 - 2
Horsens crestHorsensLDDLL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Odense and 1.1 from Horsens, so Odense come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Horsens come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.7 goals in total (xG 1.4-1.3), keeping it under more often than not (about 73%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Odense have won one of their last five.
✓Horsens have not won any of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

26 May 2023Odense 2 - 1 Horsens
28 Apr 2023Horsens 2 - 2 Odense
13 Nov 2022Horsens 3 - 3 Odense
22 Aug 2022Odense 1 - 0 Horsens
24 May 2021Odense 4 - 0 Horsens
Odense have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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