What to expect
We expect about 3.5 goals from Bayern Munich and 0.8 from Hertha, so Bayern Munich come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Hertha come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bayern Munich to win. Bayern Munich are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.5-0.8), and we make them about 91% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 89 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.11, which works out at about 90 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Bayern Munich have won four of the last four meetings.
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