What to expect
We expect about 2.4 goals from Al Ahly SC and 0.5 from El Qanah FC, so Al Ahly SC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Al Ahly SC come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al Ahly SC to win. Al Ahly SC are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.5), and we make them about 82% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
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