What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Smouha SC and 0.7 from Ghazl Al Mahalla, so Smouha SC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.7 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Smouha SC or Draw. This covers Smouha SC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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