Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Both teams to score 55%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

The game looks fairly even on paper. Motor Lublin are a touch stronger with an expected 1.8 goals compared with Piast Gliwice’s 1.3. Those numbers point to an open match where chances can come from both sides. Neither team looks likely to lock the other out, so we can expect action at both ends of the pitch.

Both clubs have been inconsistent lately, each winning one of their last five league games and drawing two. Piast Gliwice come in on two straight draws, while Motor Lublin have a similar recent record. In their last four meetings the sides have split the wins – Motor Lublin two, Piast one and one draw – and those games have produced an average of 3.2 goals. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 to Motor Lublin, which suggests both teams are capable of finding the net when they face each other.

Our pick is both teams to score. Each side is averaging close to a goal per game and the recent head-to-head record shows they tend to score. The price of 1.56 is shorter than what we feel the match deserves, so we think it is a good price for this outcome.

For the bet to go wrong, one side would need to keep a clean sheet. That could happen if a defense tightens up or the attack stalls, but given the goal expectations and the history, a shut-out feels unlikely. We are reasonably confident in our view.

Recent meetings