How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made HamKam (Draw No Bet) 68%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from HamKam and 0.9 from Kristiansund, so HamKam come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: HamKam (Draw No Bet). HamKam are favoured here (xG 1.7-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a HamKam defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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