What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Sarpsborg 08 and 1.0 from Kristiansund, so Sarpsborg 08 come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sarpsborg 08 come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Kristiansund to score 1 or fewer. This is about Kristiansund's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Kristiansund have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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