How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 64%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We like under 3.5 goals in this match because the price looks good. We think there will not be many goals in this game. The odds of 1.94 seem fair to us for this pick.
What the numbers say
✓Viking have won three of their last five.
✓Sarpsborg 08 are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
12 Jul 2026Sarpsborg 08 1 - 0 Viking
27 Sept 2025Sarpsborg 08 3 - 3 Viking
4 May 2025Viking 0 - 0 Sarpsborg 08
27 Oct 2024Sarpsborg 08 1 - 2 Viking
1 Apr 2024Viking 1 - 0 Sarpsborg 08
One thing to watch
A goal against the run of play opens the game up, and a tight total can slip away fast. At around 64% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
