Paide Linnameeskond v Narva Trans prediction

What to expect

We expect about 2.2 goals from Paide Linnameeskond and 0.8 from Narva Trans, so Paide Linnameeskond come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Narva Trans come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Paide Linnameeskond to win. Paide Linnameeskond are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.8), and we make them about 72% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.