How it turned out
The game finished with 1 goal. We made Under 3.5 goals 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.8 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓KI Klaksvik have won two of their last five.
One thing to watch
It only takes one early goal to change how both sides play, and a low total can unravel in a single quick spell. We make it about 72%: a lean, not a lock.
