What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Colchester and 1.5 from Mansfield, so Mansfield come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Mansfield to win. Mansfield shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.5), and we make them about 56% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.81, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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