What to expect
We expect about 2.2 goals from B36 Tórshavn and 0.9 from B68 Toftir, so B36 Tórshavn come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: B36 Tórshavn to win. B36 Tórshavn are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.9), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn B68 Toftir a draw or better. The price is shorter than our own read of about 68%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.