What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Aris and 1.3 from Olympiakos, so Olympiakos come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Olympiakos come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Olympiakos or Draw. This covers Olympiakos or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Olympiakos have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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