What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Panathinaikos and 1.2 from AEK, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Panathinaikos come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.1-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent results
AEK have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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