What to expect
We expect about 2.2 goals from FH Hafnarfjörður and 1.0 from Thór Akureyri, so FH Hafnarfjörður come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Thór Akureyri come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FH Hafnarfjörður (Draw No Bet). FH Hafnarfjörður are favoured here (xG 2.2-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a FH Hafnarfjörður defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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