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Football/Iceland Besta deildin/Stjarnan v KA Akureyri
Iceland Besta deildin

Stjarnan v KA Akureyri prediction

Stjarnan crestStjarnan2nd in Relegation Round · 31 ptsLWLWL
v
KA Akureyri crestKA Akureyri4th in Relegation Round · 23 ptsDLLLW

What to expect

We expect about 2.2 goals from Stjarnan and 1.5 from KA Akureyri, so Stjarnan come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Stjarnan or Draw. This covers Stjarnan or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Stjarnan have won two of their last five.
✓KA Akureyri have won one of their last five.

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