What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.4 from Maccabi Haifa, so Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv (Draw No Bet). Maccabi Tel Aviv are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.5), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Maccabi Tel Aviv defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Maccabi Haifa win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. The price is shorter than our own read of about 67%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.