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Football/J1 League/FC Tokyo v Urawa Reds
J1 League · Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo v Urawa Reds prediction

FC Tokyo crestFC Tokyo5th of 20 · 17 ptsDWWWW
v
Urawa Reds crestUrawa Reds10th of 20 · 12 ptsWWLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.7 goals from FC Tokyo and 1.2 from Urawa Reds, so FC Tokyo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

FC Tokyo come into this on four straight wins. Urawa Reds come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓FC Tokyo are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Urawa Reds have won four of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

19 Jul 2025FC Tokyo 3 - 2 Urawa Reds
17 May 2025Urawa Reds 3 - 2 FC Tokyo
21 Sept 2024Urawa Reds 0 - 2 FC Tokyo
3 Apr 2024FC Tokyo 2 - 1 Urawa Reds
8 Jul 2023Urawa Reds 0 - 0 FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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